Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.485878 2.643455 2.810438 3.001343 3.214530 3.446413 3.719267
2025-12-28 2.235385 2.451494 2.692758 2.984898 3.333015 3.739793 4.259191
2026-01-04 2.041374 2.279840 2.554530 2.899254 3.327654 3.853110 4.564287
2026-01-11 1.932177 2.190609 2.496204 2.891663 3.401688 4.055587 4.991105
2026-01-18 1.871597 2.151296 2.490136 2.941502 3.544937 4.353638 5.579537
2026-01-25 1.954212 2.290355 2.711932 3.297949 4.125365 5.314728 7.300832
2026-02-01 1.830278 2.159389 2.577106 3.166536 4.015368 5.267935 7.440597
2026-02-08 1.713200 2.031012 2.437917 3.018461 3.866878 5.143923 7.425262
2026-02-15 1.649215 1.968365 2.382011 2.981487 3.876274 5.262747 7.851460
2026-02-22 1.580305 1.895845 2.308669 2.914260 3.833299 5.290780 8.112869
2026-03-01 1.508119 1.815988 2.221529 2.821745 3.743863 5.231877 8.194552
2026-03-08 1.433247 1.729943 2.122478 2.706777 3.611617 5.088493 8.084145
2026-03-15 1.389979 1.689606 2.091213 2.699387 3.664249 5.295524 8.805289
2026-03-22 1.345773 1.646750 2.055152 2.683861 3.705013 5.493023 9.582807
2026-03-29 1.288115 1.582680 1.985451 2.611924 3.644777 5.494912 9.904805
2026-04-05 1.254705 1.550641 1.959720 2.605524 3.693702 5.709980 10.830878
2026-04-12 1.237827 1.540725 1.965075 2.647481 3.829497 6.118088 12.458827
2026-04-19 1.289989 1.630597 2.121951 2.945369 4.465167 7.738708 19.218916
2026-04-26 1.234273 1.562451 2.037202 2.835986 4.319662 7.550872 19.190183
2026-05-03 1.177892 1.491803 1.946335 2.712120 4.137500 7.253259 18.579151
2026-05-10 1.147403 1.458123 1.910969 2.681088 4.136056 7.401704 20.090943
2026-05-17 1.112459 1.416833 1.862311 2.624557 4.078889 7.401477 20.926463
2026-05-24 1.074110 1.369521 1.802814 2.546532 3.972693 7.260948 20.980574